This is exactly the kind of bet I would make https://jalopnik.com/people-in-michigan-are-betting-on-when-a-decrepit-satur-1832656720
This sort of thing is a Really Big Deal in Fairbanks, Alaska, where the Nenana Ice Classic prize has been over a million bucks, although this year it's "only" about $300,000, and it's likely to go any day now. (Yeah, I've been known to buy a ticket or two). A friend who teaches there says it is a major topic of discussion all winter, including considering methodologies that could influence the result. Laser beams. Submarines. What have you. http://www.alaska.org/detail/nenana-ice-classic