Thinking about the former Veep...apparently post debate real money is beginning to flow toward the Pence campaign. I wonder. Has Pence been written off too soon? There is conventional wisdom in electoral politics about "peaking too soon". I don't know if there's anything to it but I can tell you timing matters. If the GOP is tired of losing every election (and maybe tired of The Trump Show) Pence is the obvious choice.
You may be right. What does it say about GOP that their best choice is Governor Ultrasound, and still they are heck bent on picking a multi-indicted accused felon instead? Unless saving the GOP is the goal, and the current party is not worth saving, Biden is an obvious choice. In the long term, a democracy needs the sane opposition party, but for 2024? Vote blue.
If Tim Scott breaks into the first tier I feel he'd have a good chance of holding together Trump-skeptical conservatives and just enough Trump-friendly ones.
Is there any indication of any real movement? Trump gives exactly what the Republican base wants. Why would they move off of him? Those voters aren't trying to win. They're massaging their collective id.
While this is true, it is also a Trump weak spot. The one thing they want that they think he will provide is a win. This is founded significantly on the Big Lie that they believe he won in 2020. If they become convinced that he can't win in 2024 then they will abandon him. After sticking with him through two impeachments and four indictments them abandoning him is looking very unlikely. Massaging the id probably plays a big part in why 70% of the Republican base believes he won in 2020.
