NY Times columnists admit to being ‘wrong’ in series of mea culpas

https://nypost.com/2022/07/21/ny-times-columnists-admit-to-being-wrong-in-series-of-mea-culpas/

 

In his book Superforecasting, Philip Tetlock spends some time early on discussing opinion columnists. He notes that they are rarely forced to confront the (in)accuracy of their predictions which makes it hard for them to learn how to do them better. A great book, and I've learned a lot about making geopolitical forecasts myself from my participation on The Good Judgement Project Online (GJPO), referenced in another thread: https://www.degreeinfo.com/index.php?threads/good-judgement-project-open-gjpo.57804/