Ph.D.s in America on the decline

Discussion in 'Off-Topic Discussions' started by decimon, Aug 19, 2005.

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  1. downwithmediocrity

    downwithmediocrity New Member

    (1) the regime that was installed by some Supreme Court justices of the United States (it shalt remain nameless, as this is not the politics board)

    (2) whose budgets? an example is National Science Foundation


    But after all, who needs science - them scientists are a bunch of godless commie pinkos who make up them theories like global warming and evolution and stuff
     
  2. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    The manner in which you reply betrays your bias. This doesn't help your case. I am no apologist for Bush but here's what I found (it took all of 2 minutes).
    http://www.aip.org/fyi/2001/033.html
    http://www.aip.org/fyi/2005/115.html
    These stories indicate that while Bush increased the budget of the FSF by a smaller margin than was recommended by Congress, he did in fact, increase the NSF budget not decrease it as was suggested by our new friend dwm. If dwm would actually like to eliminate mediocrity then he might actually try to do some real research and produce some verifiable facts to support his position. I could be wrong in this matter but you're going to have to produce some evidence to that effect.
    Jack
     
  3. downwithmediocrity

    downwithmediocrity New Member

    I wasn't really talking about biomedical imaging -
    NSF budget has been fairly flat in past couple of years
    http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd/cht9006a.pdf
    Meanwhile, current and future competitor countries see the wisdom in cultivating their fundamental science and scientists, and their nonscientist leaders don't go around opining about scientific matters.
     
  4. decimon

    decimon Well-Known Member

    Like MITI and Sematech? Bad joke.

    When do you think MITI will be done with their fifth-generation computer? HA ha ha ha...
     
  5. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    OK, so I'm taking this as an admission of error on your part. You have no evidence that Bush has been cutting ("strangling") science budgets. Do I now have to go out and get some references that demonstrate that "nonscientist leaders" of some countries do, in fact, speak about scientific issues. You are so clearly wrong on this and it will be so very easy to prove it.
    Jack
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Aug 20, 2005
  6. downwithmediocrity

    downwithmediocrity New Member

    I said your link was about biomedical imaging. Leaders of truly competitive countries have not been repeatedly making scientific pronoucements and embarrassing themselves as some of our top leaders have. That some leaders in much less technologically advanced countries are ignorant of science should be no news to anyone.
     
  7. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Aug 20, 2005
  8. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

  9. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    You're wrong again. The following link is filled with evidence that leaders of developing nations are keenly aware of science and scientific issues.
    http://allafrica.com/science
    Jack
     
  10. SteveFoerster

    SteveFoerster Resident Gadfly Staff Member

    OK, it's been a long day, a long week and I'm still a bit tired. Despite that, I don't see that you've made your point. It's clear that you disagree but you've offered nothing in rebuttal that might convince someone to your point of view.

    Fair enough, I'll elaborate a bit.

    My point is this: If some smart person earns a PhD in a non-US country and then uses their resulting marketability to move to the US, work for some US company, or agency or government office, etc, They get their citizenship and become "American," how is this a worse scenario for the country than if they were born here and earned their PhD from a US school? We, as a country, receive the benefit of their skills and knowledge.

    No, we agree on that! That's a great scenario for the U.S. I wasn't arguing against that at all!

    Also, you mentioned that this would "hasten the US's decline." I do not concede that there is such a "decline" and would ask that you document this. I do not concede that a decrease in the number of PhD's constitutes "a US decline."

    We disagree, in that I do think that a decrease in the number of PhDs is at the very least a warning sign of economic decline.

    I also do not concede that hiring foreign educated PhD's would not "hasten" anything negative. Just trying to understand your point.

    My point was that I think that the U.S. has reaped a lot of benefit from exactly the scenario you describe -- where talented people come for advanced study, then stay and work. Now, however, the trend is moving away from students coming here, because it's harder to get a visa, because there's more opportunity for study in other countries than there used to be, and to some extent because young people throughout the world are so disgusted by U.S. foreign policy such that it's a factor in choosing somewhere else to go.

    I was in Dominica a few weeks ago, and no smart young person I talked to about college was headed for the U.S. That's a big difference from just three years ago there. One had decided to go to Cuba, where study is free, one decided to go the University of the West Indies in Barbados, two (both U.S. citizens!) were staying put in Dominica for the time being, and one had decided to go to China. That last one was especially interesting to me, as it would have been unthinkable a few years ago.

    If one can assume that many foreign PhD holders are working in the U.S. because that's where they did their study, and fewer are coming to the U.S. to study, it seems reasonable to conclude that fewer PhD holders will be in the U.S. That's what I meant.

    You've called for evidence several times in this thread, and I'll admit that what I just relayed is merely anecdotal, but hey, this isn't my dissertation topic. :)

    -=Steve=-
     
  11. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    I think we've all heard that it's substantially more difficult for foreign students to get visas to study in the US. While I have some understanding of the security problems posed by student visa holders, I agree that this is not a healthy development for our country at least as it relates to the topic of this thread. My hope is that that situation is short-lived and that if it extends out further in time, perhaps some other solution can be found, one that allows for better security without diminishing our universities student bodies. My only other hope in this regard is that at some point market forces will again shift and make the earning of a PhD more attractive that it is now. My own idea (with no evidence) is that people are not earning these degrees because they can not find employment at that level. Thanks for your comments.
    Jack
     
  12. Ted Heiks

    Ted Heiks Moderator and Distinguished Senior Member

    Maybe if: (a) we had a really good war going; AND (b) that war involved a draft; AND (c) that draft involved a grad school deferment or exemption, then maybe we could increase PhD production.
     
  13. decimon

    decimon Well-Known Member

    And more people applying for police and fire depts.
     
  14. Ted Heiks

    Ted Heiks Moderator and Distinguished Senior Member

    And more people applying for (and forgetting to finish) National Guard duty.
     
  15. decimon

    decimon Well-Known Member

    I don't think that holds water in the case of the Pres. but does describe what was done by some.

    In Basic Training, when entering the mass hall, we had to call out RA (you joined), US (you were drafted, or ER (enlisted reserve) to a sergeant keeping roll. The loudest guy was an ER who loved rubbing it in.
     
  16. Ted Heiks

    Ted Heiks Moderator and Distinguished Senior Member

    I was thinking also of that guy that came before one Bush but after another Bush. Did he forget to do Guard duty? Or was it ROTC classes he forgot to sign up for?
     
  17. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    While I don't dismiss the factors you've mentioned (they are real) I was thinking more about the impending retirement of current baby-boomer PhDs.

    Also, I don't mind saying, that if I were 30 years old, in possession of a PhD, unattached and otherwise able to travel, I believe that I would, without hesitation, take myself off to whatever far corner of the earth in order to teach in my chosen field. It has just got to be better than "You want fries with that?"
    Jack
     
  18. Ted Heiks

    Ted Heiks Moderator and Distinguished Senior Member

    For starters, I think it necessary to draw a distinction between which baby boomers we are talking about. The baby boomers have been defined as all those born between 1946 and 1964. Trust me, being a tag-end baby boomer is a far different experience than being a leading-edge baby boomer. Since the baby boomers were born 1946-1964, they would have entered college 1964-1982. Since the "traditional" ages of college are 18-22 for the bachelor's, 22-25 for the master's, and 25-29 for the doctorate, the generational cohort best positioned to ride the increased demand for college professorships attributable to baby boomers was born from 1935 to 1953. If 65 remains the traditional retirement age, then that generational cohort should be retiring from 2000 to 2018. The question then becomes whether there are or will be enough youngsters entering college now and in the near future to convince young people to get PhDs in larger numbers.
     
  19. Jack Tracey

    Jack Tracey New Member

    Thanks for running the numbers. It seems that you've made my point.
    Jack
     
  20. Ted Heiks

    Ted Heiks Moderator and Distinguished Senior Member

    It seems that I read or heard somewhere that there was supposed to have been an "echo of the baby boom." Did that ever materialize? If so, over what period of years? And, also, given that there was/is a PhD glut, if that new baby boom ever does materialize and start heading off to college in droves, what happens to all those PhDs from the PhD glut years? Do they finally start coming out of the woodwork and start landing professorships after all? Or do they tend to keep on doing what they were doing and leave all the newly available professorships to newly minted PhDs?
     

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