Let's hope they are wrong. John Kerry will be our next president - the polls mean nothing, the "will of Heaven" means everything, and the mantle has clearly passed from this regime.
As you know, I'm anti-Bush. However, I think this projection is pretty realistic. What I find fascinating about it is that Florida IS the difference. In this scenario, if they are right about every other state, but Florida goes to Kerry instead of Bush, it would be a 269-269 tie. Then it goes to the Congress. The House determines the President, the Senat determines the Vice-President. Each state gets one vote. Oh, and it's voted on by the new Congress. Here's where it could potentially get really weird. So, if the Dems take the Senate (very unlikely), it is possible that Bush could be voted in as President and Edwards as VP. But here's the weirdest of all. What if both houses end in a tie? Who would be the President? Denny Hastert, Speaker of the House. And who would be his VP? Well, he would get to choose. But we all know it would be "The Exterminator", Tom Delay. Now that is scary.
grgrwll, In your scenario, is it the current Congress or the Congress-elect that would choose? If it's the current Congress there's no question, but the Congress-elect might be more interesting.
Drudge has exit numbers for Kerry Kerry winning States, but Bush has Guam: http://www.drudgereport.com/ And don't forget Poland!
Another interesting scenario: Given the closeness of the race and the impending litigation, it's possible that this will be decided by the Supreme Court once again. So, what if Rehnquist dies or has to retire between now and then (a sad, but conceivable possibility.) Last time, the vote was 5-4. Without Rehnquist, it would have been 4-4. So, here's the scenario: Bush could make a recess appointment, and that person would NOT have to be confirmed by the Senate prior to participating in this decision. The Presidential election could come down to the vote of one person -- a person who had been given a lifetime appointment as Chief Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court just a few days before. Rumor has it that it would be John Ashcroft. I am not exaggerating when I say that something like that could bring about a civil war.
Well, we'll soon see. I don't remember ever seeing the kind of turn out as in this election. My theory (grasping at straws?) is that angry people vote for change but that satisfied people stay home. Yep. Grasping at straws!
